2s-10s, the update

I’ve written a couple of times already about the yield spread between 2s and 10s being an excellent contemporaneous indicator of risk appetite in equities. Macro guys look at a variety of “flattener/steepener” indicators, but this one is the granddaddy. It is something stock-jockeys often overlook.

The downdraft that started in March presaged the April volatility. It is a tribute to market strength that we only got volatility and not a more meaningful sell off.

It is now turning up. It’s worth you while, IMO, to sit up and take notice.